The US Open is the last of the four Grand Slams in the tennis calendar and it rarely disappoints. Whether it’s a qualifier winning the event or even a native player, it’s a spectacular show. Read on for a breakdown of the best value bets to make on the women’s event in 2025, including a look at the latest tennis odds and underdogs to win.
WTA US Open Odds and Favorites
A total of 128 women will compete for the prized US Open trophy but only one can get it. Will the crowd get an American champion or can one of the usual suspects get it done? Only time will tell but what we do know is what the betting sites think. Here are the latest US Open women’s odds:
Women’s 2025 US Open Betting Odds
- Iga Swiatek @ 3.50 (+250)
- Aryna Sabalenka @ 4.00 (+300)
- Coco Gauff @ 8.50 (+750)
- Elena Rybakina @ 12.00 (+1100)
- Mirra Andreeva @ 12.00 (+1100)
- Naomi Osaka @ 17.00 (+1600)
- Madison Keys @ 21.00 (+2000)
- Amanda Anisimova @ 23.00 (+2200)
- Victoria Mboko @ 23.00 (+2200)
- Jessica Pegula @ 26.00 (+2500)
Similar to the men’s draw, there are two players who stand out as clear favorites: Swiatek and Sabalenka. That’s largely because they offer something rare in women’s tennis – relative consistency.
The rest of the field is far more volatile. Many are capable of winning the event, but just as capable of crashing out early. Among them, three players sit a tier above the rest: Gauff, Rybakina, and Andreeva.
Below that is a group with roughly equal chances of going deep. Some have slightly better odds, but none stand out as significantly more likely to win than the others. This tier includes Osaka, Keys, Anisimova, Mboko, and Pegula. These are streaky players, and as Keys proved in Australia, if everything clicks, they absolutely have the tools to get it done.
Top Dark Horses for WTA US Open 2025
As Emma Raducanu’s’ run at the 2021 US Open showed, there is always a chance of a surprise in the women’s draw. That means there is plenty of great value outside of the favourites so let’s go over some dark horses for the 2025 US Open.
- Emma Raducanu
- Jasmine Paolini
- Danielle Collins
- Clara Tauson
- Karolina Muchova
Emma Raducanu @ 26.00 (+2600)
Raducanu has never quite recaptured the magic of her 2021 US Open triumph, but the potential is still there. Every now and then, the Brit flashes a level of play that’s undeniably elite, essentially good enough to beat almost anyone. The issue has always been consistency.
Still, recent performances suggest she’s trending in the right direction. And if she managed to catch lightning in a bottle once in New York, there’s no reason to think she couldn’t do it again. It’s a longshot, but far from impossible.
Jasmine Paolini @ 51.00 (+5000)
Paolini might not be matching last year’s highs – she hasn’t reached two Grand Slam finals this season – but she hasn’t been bad either. Her recent run to the final in Cincinnati showed that the level is still there, and with a bit of luck, she could tap into it again.
The US Open courts suit her game well, and as mentioned, with the right draw and momentum, she could find herself in contention for another Grand Slam trophy. More about Jasmine Paolini’s racquet.
Danielle Collins @ 81.00 (+8000)
Collins is one of those American players who could surprise at this event. She has a massive serve, strikes the ball cleanly, and has already reached a Grand Slam final. All of that works in her favor, especially with the home crowd behind her.
She showed in the doubles event that she’s in solid shape, and that makes her dangerous. If she gets on a roll, there are very few players who can stop her.
Clara Tauson @ 51.00 (+5000)
Tauson was, for a long time, touted as the next big thing in tennis. As a teenager, she was beating top players at Grand Slams, but after a string of injuries, she faded from the spotlight. Last year, she used smaller events to rebuild her form, and this year, she’s exploded back onto the scene.
She’s heading into the event with a career-best ranking of No 15 and a 20–8 record on hard courts, including wins over Keys, Swiatek and Sabalenka on the surface. If that doesn’t warrant a value bet on a streaky power hitter like her, nothing does.
Karolina Muchova @ 81.00 (+8000)
The biggest “what if” in tennis remains Muchova. This is a player who nearly toppled peak Swiatek in the Roland Garros final, and she’s still that player. The issue with Muchova is her fragile body, which continues to betray her.
She’s not entering this event in spectacular form or peak health (is she ever?), but among all the players who could surprise, backing her feels like the most logical choice. She’s an excellent server, plays beautifully at the net, and carries a composed demeanor on court. At her best, she’s a top-five talent on Tour and has made back-to-back semifinals in New York.
Betting Tips and Value Bets for the WTA US Open 2025
After going over the favorites and the underdogs we can now look at the best value bet for the women’s US Open in 2025. There are plenty to be had so buckle up.
- Yafan Wang to Beat Emma Navarro @ 4.00 (+300)
The fact that the odds aren’t higher for this market tells you everything you need to know. Navarro is last year’s semi-finalist and currently ranked No 11 in the world, while Wang sits outside the top 200. So why is Wang’s win priced so low?
Well, Navarro is just 12–11 on hard courts this season and has struggled significantly lately. She’s won only one of the five hard-court matches she played since Wimbledon, while Wang has picked up four wins in that span. Navarro is clearly the better player on paper, but with her form all over the place, this upset is worth a shot.
- Gauff to Win the Women’s US Open @ 8.50 (+750)
While Gauff hasn’t looked particularly impressive in recent events, she’s still arguably the best player in the world. It only takes one good week for her to beat anyone in front of her. She’s done it in New York before, and with the crowd firmly behind her, the odds are simply too good to pass up.
She’s also proven this year that she can win a second Grand Slam title with her triumph in Paris, so it wouldn’t be all that shocking to see her lift the trophy in New York as well. Overall, there’s very solid value here for something that isn’t far-fetched at all.
- Julieta Pareja to Beat Rybakina @ 14.00 (+1300)
Out of all the big names at the event, Rybakina is by far the likeliest to lose in the opening round. She just hasn’t looked all that impressive in New York in recent years. Rybakina hasn’t advanced past the third round in her last three attempts, and she’s facing a homegrown player who will be just as fired up as the crowd.
It’s not inconceivable that under these circumstances, Rybakina might struggle. She’s had a few strong showings recently, so by the ‘rule of Rybakina’, she could be due for a major letdown. At these odds, it’s worth a shot.
- Osaka to Lose Round Two (Odds TBC)
Osaka shouldn’t face major problems against Greet Minnen in the first round, as Minnen hasn’t won a match since the summer. Where things could get tricky is in the second round, where Osaka will face either Hailey Baptiste or Katerina Siniakova.
The reason is that both are difficult opponents. Baptiste is a strong server and a local player, which means she’ll likely have the crowd behind her. Siniakova is a relentless competitor who fights for every point, and that could push Osaka into making unforced errors.
While Osaka’s form has been solid lately, she’s still prone to occasional lapses, and there’s good value in backing another potential one.
- Keys to lose against Renata Zarazua @ 9.00 (+800)
Madison Keys will never not be an enigma to tennis analysts. A player whose best is almost impossible to beat, as shown earlier this year in Australia, to a player who can lose to basically anybody. Zarazua is a tricky matchup for her, mostly because she’s known to fight for every ball and extend rallies.
Keys is a hyper-aggressive baseliner who will decide every point of this match. Either it’s a winner or an unforced error. With a playstyle like that and Zarazua’s patience, there is good value in backing the upset. Tennis betting sites are offering fantastic odds for it, and Keys has lost to worse players before.
