The 2025 French Open is just over two months away. With the tennis season moving along at a rapid pace, the year’s next Grand Slam will be upon us shortly, so it’s never too soon to have a look at some early betting on the 2025 French Open. Read on for a rundown of the favorites to win Roland Garros, as well as the latest odds and predictions.
Favorites to win the 2025 French Open
This year’s French Open is a four-horse race, realistically. Here are the four that sit head-and-shoulders above the rest of the field.
- Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz won his maiden Roland Garros trophy last year, and he’s very likely to do so again. There are a couple of reasons for that. Mostly, it comes down to the Spaniard not really having any major opposition.
Jannik Sinner is his biggest opponent, but he will be coming off a suspension without too much time on the court to regain his competitive toughness. That could prove detrimental, and even if it doesn’t, he beat him last year on these very courts.
Alcaraz just looks like the player most likely to get it done in 2025, this also shows at the odds when betting at any sportsbook. Nobody plays as well on clay as he does, plus he’s arguably the best player in the world right now and the defending champion.
- Alexander Zverev
Zverev is mostly a favorite because there is something about Roland Garros that makes him play ridiculously well. He made the semi-finals a couple of years in a row before finally making the final last year.
He couldn’t get past Alcaraz, but he won two sets and looked really comfortable. That sort of resume warrants him being the second favorite ahead of Sinner, whose competitive form will be a big question mark in May.
- Jannik Sinner
We have to mention Sinner, who was the undisputed world number one and the best player in the world before getting suspended for three months. He just won the Australian Open again, and has been outplaying the whole Tour for almost a year now.
The Italian can also be very good on clay. Sinner and Alcaraz played five-set semi-final at Roland Garros last year, and Sinner looked comfortable for a good chunk of it. He can certainly win it if he brings that same level. The biggest issue is whether or not he can bring this level after three months away from playing actual competitive matches.
- Novak Djokovic
While Novak Djokovic is unlikely to win the event, he deserves to be mentioned simply because he’s an iconic tennis player who has won more Grand Slams than the rest of the field combined. Plus, against all odds, he won the Olympics last year, which were played on these very courts.
If Djokovic is healthy and he’s playing well, he will have a chance, no matter how minor it is. It might be the last hurrah for him, so he will likely be very motivated. If we’ve learnt one thing over the past few years, it’s write off the Serbian at your own expense.
2025 French Open odds
Here’s how tennis betting sites have set the odds to win the 2025 French Open two months out from the event:
- Carlos Alcaraz – 2.00 (+100)
- Jannik Sinner – 3.75 (+275)
- Novak Djokovic – 6.50 (+550)
- Alexander Zverev – 8.50 (+750)
- Stefanos Tsitsipas – 11.00 (+1000)
- Casper Ruud – 13.00 (+1200)
- Holger Rune – 29.00 (+2800)
- Daniil Medvedev – 34.00 (+3300)
- Andrey Rublev – 34.00 (+3300)
- Joao Fonseca – 34.00 (+3300)
As we can see, Alcaraz is at the top with a decent price, although maybe a bit underpriced. After all, this is a Grand Slam event, and while it does seem like he has a clear path to his fifth slam, winning it is never easy.
You need to win seven matches of best-of-five tennis, and with that in mind, these odds might be a bit too short. Sinner is definitely priced too short considering that he will essentially only have two weeks of competitive tennis before the event.
He will play at the Italian Open at home and then have a week before Roland Garros to further practice. Even though the 23-year-old has been a world-beater the past year, a having just a fortnight to get back up to speed is a big ask.
Djokovic’s odds of winning the French Open also feel too short. He should be priced around what Zverev is. He’s very unlikely to win the event because the 37-year-old’s body has not proven capable of getting him through Grand Slams recently. He’s been having more and more issues with it lately, and the only reason he won the Olympics was because it was best-of-three, and he won in straight sets. Had it been best-of-five, he likely wouldn’t have done it.
By extension, Zverev is priced too high. These are really juicy odds for the German and probably the best value out of all of thes. He should have shorter odds in reality, but a string of recent results – plus his inability to get across the line at the Grand Slam level – might be affecting the price. However, he just finds a way to win at Roland Garros, and he made the final last year.
The rest of the favorites are all priced within reason outside of Joao Fonseca. His odds of winning are definitely being over-exaggerated here. While he is a tremendous player and loves to play on clay, he’s still very young. Yes, he did score some amazing wins, but we’ve seen at the Australian Open and at his native event in Rio that he can be beaten.
Pricing the Brazilian teen in the top 10 lines of betting is simply overselling what he can do at this very moment. He has lots to learn. A player who is priced too long, however, is Lorenzo Musetti. His odds should be similar to Fonseca’s, because not only is he a great clay player, he’s been steadily improving.
The Italian made the Wimbledon semi-final, won a medal at the Olympics, and it’s not impossible to imagine another deep run here. At least it’s more likely than for Fonseca, which is why they should switch odds.
Early 2025 French Open predictions
Now, time for some of our early 2025 French Open predictions themselves. There are plenty of different paths we could go down here, but the four tips below we feel confident will unfold in May.
- Lorenzo Musetti to make the quarter-finals
This tip builds upon what we noted above. Musetti is a fantastic clay player. His game is tailor-made for the clay because he has impossible defensive ability and, more importantly, the ability to attack from a very defensive position.
Whether it be his sensational one-handed backhand or the forehand, the Italian has a really good all-around game. After all, he bested Alcaraz in a clay final. Let that sink in because very few have done that.
He also has a decent serve, which has been steadily improving with time, and we think he’s going to finally take that next step in Paris. He has made the fourth round two out of the four times he’s played the event – just one match away from the quarter-final.
Djokovic stopped him the first time, while Alcaraz stopped him the second time. Djokovic stopped him last year as well, but he once again won sets. He also won the bronze medal at the Olympics, so he is slowly coming into his own.
His record on the clay is also really good with 128 wins and 70 losses. It’s simply time to finally make that quarter-final, and we think it’s going to happen this year. In fairness, he hasn’t started the 2025 season all too well, but there is time for him to turn things around, which should pick up as the Tour moves to clay.
- Joao Fonseca will not make the fourth round
Another bold prediction is this one: Fonseca won’t amaze. This one might come off as a surprise to the sensational odds he has been assigned for potentially winning Roland Garros, but it’s a pretty nonsensical one in our humble opinion.
Let’s look at Fonseca as a player. He has fantastic skills highlighted by his good serve and tremendous forehand. He likes to play aggressive tennis, and he’s generally very good under pressure. So what’s not to like?
Well, he’s quite inexperienced, and it tends to show when things do not go according to plan. Right now, there are two versions of Fonseca, the good one and the bad one.
If the good one shows up, he’s winning the match against 99% of players. If not, then he can be beaten by some really uninspiring players. He’s lost against some pretty lackluster players this year even with a 15-4 record.
It’s quite possible that he goes on a run at the event and wins one, two, or three matches. Still, sooner or later, one of those matches will feature him underperforming, and there is a very high chance that he gets beaten there.
By the time he gets to the third round, he will likely face a seed, and the inexperience and other factors are likely going to contribute to him losing the match.
- Alex de Minaur to make the quarter-finals
Another one of our predictions that many people might not expect is Alex de Minaur doing well again at Roland Garros. First of all, we have to note that de Minaur is not a natural fit on clay. He has grown up in Spain and is not a stranger to clay courts, but his game always was and always will be more suited for hard courts.
Another thing to consider about the Aussie is that he doesn’t have outright weapons. He does a lot of things well and on a high level, but he doesn’t have that signature shot, whether it’s the backhand or the forehand or even the serve. All three are decent, but none is special. That was painfully apparent last year when he faced Zverev in Paris.
There was nothing de Minaur could do against Zverev to tip the matchup in his favor. He simply lacks the weapons, but he’s so super solid across the board that we back him to make the last eight.
2025 French Open – outright winner prediction
So, with all this in mind, we’re going to make a really bold prediction. Carlos Alcaraz will win the event. Not very shocking, is it? It mostly comes down to the Spaniard being arguably the best clay player in the world.
Not only does he have devastating power, giving him the ability to hit through anything, but he’s also a great mover on the surface, allowing him to defend well as well. He has plenty of experience as well and he’s a physical juggernaut, meaning that he can play a long match without problems.
He is also quite creative, showcased by the moonballing tactic that essentially beat Zverev in last year’s final. The landscape of tennis and his skill on the clay courts are what make him the right side to back. His only true competition will be Sinner, and he won’t have that many matches on the surface due to being suspended for a large chunk of that season.
Zverev seems unlikely to beat him on the surface, while Djokovic is likely done in terms of serious Grand Slam-winning tennis. All of that is why Alcaraz is the right side to back here.
