Australian Open Women’s Semifinal Predictions, Swiatek vs Keys
We’re getting closer to the final days of the 2025 Australian Open and the Women’s event are really exciting now. On Thursday we see world no 2 Iga Swiatek taking on world no 7 Madison Keys. Let’s look a bit closer at the details ahead of this clash and our predictions and the best odds.
Iga Swiatek seem to be getting back at her best again, where she looks unstoppable at times. So far In Melbourne she only lost 14 games in her five matches. In the last four games she has out-classed her opponents in style: Sramkova 6-0, 6-2, Raducanu 6-1, 6-0, Eva Lys 6-0, 6-1 and Emma Navarro with 6-1, 6-2. Quite crazy results.
Her opponent, No. 19 seed Madison Keys, also finds herself in great form, currently on a 10-match winning streak. Coming off the win in Adelaide, the 29-year-old American has kept momentum in the Australian Open and looked impressive in the quarterfinal win over Elina Svitolina. This is the third time we se Keys in the AO semifinals.
H2H
These two have met five times on tour and the Pole is 4-1 up at the moment. The last meeting ended with a 6-1, 6-3 win for Swiatek at the Rome Masters last year. The only win for Madison Keys came at WTA Cincinnati back in 2022. Note though that on hard-courts, they are level at 1-1 in matches, as the other were played on clay.
Odds and Predictions
Looking at the odds for Swiatek vs Keys, we can see that Iga is the big favorite, not very unexpected. Currently at 1.20 or -500 for a win while a victory for Madison Keys gives around 5.20 or +420.
The odds are a bit too uneven though in our opinion. These are two of the best baseline players on tour and Keys is one of those players that can really challenge Swiatek at her own game. She definitely has the power and movement for it. Her consistency has been fantastic so far Down Under and we really look forward to this clash.
We have to hold no. 2 seed Swiatek as favorite here to progress to the final in Melbourne, seeing her form and experience in these big games. It might be tougher than the odds are implying though.
Prediction for Swiatek vs Madison Keys: Swiatek to win in 3 sets, odds around 4.10 or +310 at the best tennis betting sites.