Djokovic vs Zverev, Australian Open Semi Final, Predictions and Odds

Written by: David Barisic | January 22, 2025
djokovic

ATP Australian Open semifinals

Novak Djokovic – Alexander Zverev: 24.01.2025 02:00 CEST

H2H: 9-6

Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. At the beginning of the season, Novak played in Brisbane, losing in straight sets against Opelka in the quarterfinals. Djokovic was doubted before the Australian Open but showed his best tennis here in Melbourne.

In the opening Australian Open round, Novak defeated Basavareddy in four sets. Nishesh kept the match tight, as we predicted. After that, in the second round, Novak won against Faria in four sets. Novak lost the second set due to the amount of unforced errors he made. In the third round, Djokovic defeated Machac in easy straight sets and showed great tennis. Another Czech had now answer for Djokovic’s game. Novak defeated Lehecka in straight sets in the 1/8-Finals. Yesterday, in the quarterfinals, Novak upset Alcaraz in four sets after losing the first set 4-6. It was his biggest win since the Olympic Games. Novak limped at the beginning of the match but managed to take control and turn the match around. 

Novak is aiming for his 11th title at the Australian Open, making him the most successful player in the tournament’s history. Djokovic reached the semifinals last year, losing against Sinner in four sets.

“Sascha” Zverev has won seven straight matches. So far this season, Sascha has only played in the United Cup, winning both matches. 

In his opening match here in Melbourne, Sascha defeated Pouille in straight sets. After that, in the second and third rounds, Sascha had no problems against Martinez or Fearnley, winning both matches in straight sets. However, in the 1/8-Finals, Zverev defeated Humbert in four sets. Besides losing the second set 2-6, Alexander was a better player throughout the match. Yesterday, in the quarterfinals, Zverev had his biggest challenge of the tournament. He defeated Tommy Paul in four sets. He trailed in both the first and second sets but turned them successfully.  Tommy was 5-2 up in the second set but fumbled under pressure. In the fourth set, Zverev took control from the start and won easily 6-1. 

Last year in Melbourne, Alexander was 2-0 up against Medvedev in the semifinals. Daniil turned the match around. Once again, Zverev crumbled under pressure and failed at the Grand Slam level. That semifinal match was also his biggest result at the Australian Open. This is his third semifinal appearance in Melbourne. In 2020, Zverev also reached the semifinals, losing against Dominic Thiem in four tight sets.

Best Bet to Make / Predictions

According to the odds at the bookies, Djokovic is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Novak is the biggest champion of the Australian Open. His level against Alcaraz was extraordinary despite the injury. Looking at their head-to-head meetings at the Grand Slam level, Novak leads 3-0. We believe his experience and previous results at the Australian Open will prevail in this matchup.

Djokovic winning is a value bet and our prediction for the first semi final!

Value bet / the best odds: Novak Djokovic winning @ 1.65 or -150.

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David Barisic