ATP Rotterdam Predictions & Betting Odds: Medvedev vs Dimitrov

Written by: TN Betting | February 17, 2023
ATP ROTTERDAM medvedev vs dimitrov betting pick

The first ATP 500 event of the season takes place in Rotterdam with Daniil Medvedev and Grigor Dimitrov fighting for a place in the final. The match is scheduled for 3:00 pm local time and will be the first of the two semifinals. Find out our analysis for this match, the tennis betting odds available for the best sportsbooks to place your bets.

Medvedev vs Dimitrov Betting Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Totals
Daniil Medvedev -4 (-119) -400 Over 21.5 (-104)
Grigor Dimitrov +4 (+102) +334 Under 21.5 (-114)
– Odds are subject to change –

Betting Preview for Medvedev vs Dimitrov – ATP Rotterdam

Daniil Medvedev continued his quest for a first ATP title in 2023 after an impressive 6-2 6-4 victory over Felix Auger Aliassime. The former world no.1 broke the Canadian’s serve four times and only needed 83 minutes to reach the semifinals of the ATP Rotterdam for the second time in his career.

The Russian looked very impressive against Aliassime, ending the match with 12 winners to just 5 unforced errors. Despite being played indoor, the courts in Rotterdam are not as fast as other indoor hard courts. This makes Medvedev even a tougher opponent to face, as he has more time to get to the ball and do what he does best.

His next opponent will be Grigor Dimitrov, who spent little over 2:30 hours on court to get past Alex de Minaur in the quarterfinals. The Bulgarian fought back from a break down in the decisive set and saved two match points to win 6-3 3-6 7-6. This is the third time that Dimitrov reaches this stage in Rotterdam, and he will be looking for a second career appearance in the final of this tournament.

Curiously, Dimitrov’s last appearance in a final was at this same event in 2018, when he lost to Roger Federer. Since then, Dimitrov lost all 10 semifinals he played, including two to Medvedev at the US Open in 2019 and a few months ago in Vienna.

Medvedev vs Dimitrov Head-to-Head

This will be the 7th official meeting between these two players. Medvedev leads 4-2 in the head-to-head against Dimitrov, winning four of their last five encounters.

Their last meeting was at the ATP Vienna in October 2022, with Medvedev winning 6-4 6-2. That match was also in the semifinals and played on similar conditions, as the Vienna tournament is also played indoor.

Medvedev vs Dimitrov Betting Prediction

Looking at the tennis betting odds for this match, Medvedev is the heavy favorite and deserves that status. Dimitrov had a very tough contest against De Minaur and only survived after saving two match points, one of them where the Australian had an easy forehand to end the match.

There is no doubt about Grigor’s talent and quality, but will he be able to overcome such a tough opponent as Medvedev? Besides his negative record against Medvedev, Dimitrov also has a 10-match losing streak in semifinals. It’s true that almost all bad streaks eventually come to an end, but this doesn’t seem to be the time yet.

The courts in Rotterdam are not the fastest on the tour, meaning that Dimitrov won’t have an easy task to get free points with his serve. Medvedev looked very impressive on his return game against Aliassime, allowing just one ace and winning 44% of the points on the Canadian’s serve.

Looking at the different tennis betting markets for this match offered at the best sportsbooks, Medvedev’s spread looks an interesting approach. The -4 line should be covered with a 2-0 victory, but Medvedev to beat Dimitrov in straight sets is also another angle to explore, which is currently available around -135.

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