It’s time for the quarterfinals to begin at the 2026 ATP500 in Vienna, today we’re taking a look at Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Fery and Matteo Berrettini vs. Alex de Minaur, with our betting predictions and best bets.
Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Fery
Zverev has the world No. 1 ranking in his pocket. By reaching the quarterfinals he locked up the top spot for the first time in his career, officially from Monday, and he’ll become the second German to hold it after Boris Becker. He got there with a 6-4, 7-5 win over Tallon Griekspoor on Thursday, breaking first, serving well throughout and converting his first match point, which avenged his defeat to the Dutchman in Montreal in August. The previous round was much tougher, a 7-5, 3-6, 7-6(11) escape against Martin Landaluce in which he saved four match points.
Fery, ranked around No. 35, is the surprise of the season and it seems he can upset anyone on a good day. The 23-year-old Briton came into Wimbledon as a wild card ranked 114th, beat Cobolli and went all the way to the semifinals, where he lost to Zverev. In Vienna he’s come through a three-set test against in-form Lorenzo Musetti (who just won the ATP Lyon) in the round of 16, 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, coming back from a break down in the decider.
The two have met only once, in that Wimbledon semifinal, where Zverev won 7-6(0), 6-2, 6-4.
Predictions and best bets
Fery has been a good story, and a win over Musetti right now is impressive, but the one time he’s faced Zverev he didn’t get close. On a fast indoor court, with Zverev serving the way he did against Griekspoor and with the No. 1 ranking already secure, I don’t see the Briton having enough weapons to cause an upset. The German seems to be in form again.
My bet: Zverev to win in straight sets, at odds around 1.45 or -225 (US).
Matteo Berrettini vs Alex de Minaur
Berrettini has had a lucky draw so far. The Italian opened with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Etcheverry and then advanced when his compatriot Flavio Cobolli, the fourth seed, retired in tears trailing 5-2 in the first set of their round of 16 match with an apparent muscle injury. It’s the fifth Vienna quarterfinal for the 48th ranked Italian.
De Minaur, the fifth seed and a top-10 player, is playing for his Nitto ATP Finals place: he’s 10th in the Race to Turin with 2,930 points and, with Cobolli injured and others like Tiafoe, Jodar and Djokovic already out of their events, he has a chance to make up ground. He beat Tomas Machac and then Learner Tien 6-4, 6-2 in the last round, converting four of seven break points. He retired from the Beijing final against Djokovic earlier this month, but there are no signs of the injury now.
These two have five previous meetings on the main tour, Berrettini leads 3-2. De Minaur won the last one at this stage of this tournament last year, 6-1, 7-6(4), their first indoor meeting.
Predictions
Berrettini’s serve and forehand are enough to beat anyone on a fast indoor court, and he’s arguably had the easier week, with just seven games of tennis in the round of 16. But De Minaur won the last indoor meeting comfortably, he’s the better returner, and he has a lot to play for in the Turin race. I’ll back the Australian to get through this test with his solid defense, but not without a fight.
My bet: De Minaur to win in three sets
