Tommy Paul and Taylor Fritz will face each other this Friday in an all-American clash for the semifinals of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel in Acapulco. The match is scheduled for 8:00pm local time and one thing is certain, there will be an American player in the final of this tournament. Find out our detailed prediction of this match, the best tennis betting tips, and the most reliable sportsbooks where you can place your bets.
Betting Prediction for Paul vs Fritz – ATP Acapulco
Taylor Fritz continued his quest for a first-ever Acapulco title after an impressive 6-3, 6-4 victory over Frances Tiafoe in one hour and 36 minutes. Fritz has now won all his last seven official matches on the ATP Tour after lifting the trophy at the Delray Beach Open two weeks ago. The 25-year-old is playing some of his best tennis ever and is looking to win back-to-back titles for the first time in his career.
The conditions in Acapulco suit Taylor’s tennis, especially the higher bounce of the ball. We’ve seen how Fritz plays well on these kind of conditions throughout his career, like it happened also in Indian Wells last year, where he won the title. Currently the American no.1 holds a 14-4 career record on this event and will try to make it once more to the final, after reaching the decisive match in 2020.
Fritz’s serve was one of his main weapons in the match against Tiafoe in the previous round. The no.3 seed saved all four break points he faced and won 70% of his service points. Adding to this, Fritz ended the match with very positive numbers as well, firing a total of 20 winners to just 16 unforced errors in total.
In the following round Fritz will face another fellow countryman, Tommy Paul, who is playing the best tennis of his career. This has been a very good year for Paul so far, who made it to his first-ever Grand Slam semifinals at the Australian Open in January. The 25-year-old also made it to the top 20 for the first time this year and is now looking to win his second career title this week.
Looking at Tommy’s campaign on this event so far, the Florida resident defeated Mackenzie McDonald 6-2, 6-2 in just 61 minutes. Paul was very impressive in his previous round, facing only one break point in the entire match, which he saved. The no.7 seed also won 79% of his service points and ended the match with 19 winners to just 6 unforced errors.
As you can see, both players have produced high-quality tennis this week and we expect a very entertaining match. As mentioned before, one thing is certain, there will be an American player in the final. Both will try to extend their winning record on this event and become the second-ever American to win the title in Acapulco after Sam Querrey’s victory in 2017.
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Paul vs Fritz Head-to-Head
This will be the sixth official meeting between these two players. However, they have played many more times together as they are very good friends off the court.
Currently Fritz leads 3-2 in the head-to-head against Paul and won their most recent encounter at the Miami Open in 2022.
Paul vs Fritz Betting Tips – ATP Acapulco
The sportsbooks are expecting a victory from Fritz on this match, with the American as the favorite to get the win. Looking at the prices in the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Fritz is available at around 1.53, which is -189 in American odds. Despite Paul’s impressive form in recent months, it’s hard to go against Fritz after his recent results and terrific record in Acapulco.
The odds on Fritz to win this match against Paul are not the best to take at the moment, so we can’t make our prediction on the moneyline. If you want to take this market for Fritz, our suggestion is to wait for the start of the match and for an in-play opportunity to grab a better price on the American no.1.
Looking at other markets for this contest, the spread, also known as game handicap, is a good approach. We can get a very small line on Fritz for good tennis betting odds, and that will be our main betting tip for this match against Paul. At the moment you can get a -2.5 line on Fritz at odds of 1.84 (-119) and this seems to be the best approach for us.
Fritz has the better serve of the two and can also make more damage with his groundstrokes. It’s true that Paul is very solid from the baseline and his inside-out forehand is a great weapon, but Fritz is known for his outstanding backhand. This means that Paul will play right into Fritz’s favorite shot, making this a tough matchup for him.
Having said that, our tennis betting suggestions here is to wait for a better in-play price to take Fritz on the moneyline, but if you can do it, the -2.5 spread is also a good strategy on this match against Paul in the semifinals of the ATP Acapulco.
