The quarterfinals of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel in Acapulco will feature an all-American clash with Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe fighting for a place in the semifinals. The match is scheduled for 8:00pm local time and one thing is certain, there will be an American player in the following round. Keep reading to find out our detailed prediction for this match, the best tennis betting tips, and the most reliable sportsbooks to place your bets.
Betting Prediction for Fritz vs Tiafoe – ATP Acapulco
Taylor Fritz extended his winning streak to six matches this Wednesday after an impressive 6-4, 6-4 victory over Denis Shapovalov in just 79 minutes. Before this event, Fritz won his fifth career title in Delray Beach to reach a career-high ranking of world no.5. This was a major achievement for both Fritz and American tennis, as the Californian became the first player from US to reach the Top 5 since Andy Roddick in 2009.
Fritz is now looking to extend his good form in Acapulco, a tournament where he is a former finalist. Besides having a positive 13-4 career record on this event, the 25-year-old also reached the final back in 2020, losing only to Rafael Nadal in the decisive match.
The American no.1 was very impressive on serve. Fritz won 97% of the points with his first serve, meaning that he only lost one point in the entire match when he found the first serve. On the other hand, he broke Shapovalov’s serve three times and ended the match with 20 winners to just 7 unforced errors.
In the next round Fritz will face his fellow countryman Frances Tiafoe, who is looking for his first title in more than 5 years. Despite being on the top of the game for several years, Tiafoe only won one title in his career at the Delray Beach Open in 2018. Besides this, he lost four other ATP Tour finals, two of them last year in Estoril and Tokyo.
Looking at Tiafoe’s campaign on this event so far, the no.6 seed has yet to drop a set. In the first round he defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 7-6(6), 6-4 and in the following round the veteran Feliciano Lopez 6-2, 7-6(6) in one hour and 29 minutes. Tiafoe is playing in Acapulco for the fifth time but this is the first time that he makes it into the quarterfinals. The player from Maryland will try to go a step further this Thursday and reach his first semifinals of the season.
Fritz vs Tiafoe Head-to-Head
These two players will face each other for the 7th time in their careers with Fritz leading by 5-1 in the head-to-head against Tiafoe. Their most recent encounter was at the ATP Tokyo final in October 2022, with Fritz emerging victorious in two tie breaks.
Tiafoe even won in the first time that they met back in 2016, but since then Fritz has won five consecutive matches. Nevertheless, none of the matches was easy for him, with Tiafoe taking a set in two of their last four meetings.
Fritz vs Tiafoe Betting Tips – ATP Acapulco
The sportsbooks are well aware of Fritz’s lead on the head-to-head, with the highest ranked of the two as the favorite to win this match. Looking at the prices in the best sportsbooks for tennis betting, Fritz is available at round 1.57, which is -175 in American odds.
Although it’s hard to ignore Fritz recent success over Tiafoe, it’s very difficult to find any value on his current tennis betting odds. Tiafoe has always been a tough opponent for Fritz and our prediction is that this match in Acapulco will have a similar story. Adding to this, both players are enjoying the conditions on this event and it won’t be easy for either of them to break the opponent’s serve.
When analyzing the other betting markets available for this match between Fritz and Tiafoe, the totals seems a good option. The main line for this match is the Over 23 and it’s available at around 1.97 (-103) in the best bookmakers. This is a line that can be covered in two close sets, similar to what happened in Tokyo when Fritz won in two tiebreaks. Nonetheless, we believe that this match can go the distance and that means that this line will be covered.
Having said that, the best betting tip on our prediction for this match in Acapulco between Fritz and Tiafoe is the Over 23 games. This should be a very close encounters between two good friends and we can’t see any of them winning in two easy sets. Tiafoe might take this to a third set but even in two close sets we might have this line covered, or at least a push with a 7-6, 6-4 final result.
