ATP Australian Open quarterfinals
Shelton – Sonego: 22.01.2025 04:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. In the opening Australian Open round, he defeated Nakashima in tight straight sets. In the second and third rounds, he won in four sets. This is his third appearance in the Australian Open. Today, against Monfils, Shelton led 2-1 when Monfils retired with a back injury. It was a tight match, with both players serving well. Last year, Ben was upset by Adrian Mannarino in the third round, losing in five tight sets.
Lorenzo Sonego has won four of his last five matches. So far this season, Sonego has played two preparation tournaments and lost in the second round each time. Here in the Australian Open, Lorenzo defeated Wawrinka in four tight sets. In the fourth set, Lorenzo saved three consecutive set points. In the second round, Lorenzo upset Fonseca in five tight sets. Today, he won his 1/8-Final match against Tien in four sets. Besides losing the third set 3-6, Lorenzo played great. Last year in Melbourne, Sonego reached the second round of the Australian Open, losing against Alcaraz in four tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sonego is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Both players played well this week, and we expect a tight match that could go either way.
We think, Sonego covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Sonego +3.5 games handicap @1.91 or -110
Sinner – de Minaur: 22.01.2025 09:30 CEST
H2H: 9-0
Jannik Sinner has won 21 straight matches. In the Australian Open, Sinner defeated Jarry in straight sets in the opening round. His last loss was in October in Beijing, losing against Alcaraz in the final. So far in the tournament, Sinner has lost only two sets. Today in the 1/8-Finals, Sinner won against Rune in four tight sets. He was physically exhausted on the court but managed to pull through. Jannik is the defending champion in the Australian Open.
Alex de Minaur has won six straight matches. So far this season, Alex has only played in the United Cup, winning both matches. In the opening Australian Open round, de Minaur won against Van de Zandschulp in straight sets. So far in the tournament, Alex has had a favorable draw. He still has not faced a top-30 player. Today, in the 1/8-Finals, de Minaur defeated Michelsen in straight sets. Last year in the Australian Open, de Minaur reached the 1/8-Finals, losing against Rublev in five sets.
Best Bet for Sinner vs de Minaur
According to the tennis sportsbooks, Sinner is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Jannik is currently the best player in the world, and we expect him to dominate against Alex. He is the defending champion here, and Alex has no weapons for his game.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -6.5 games handicap @1.83 or -120