ATP Australian Open 1/16-Finals
Michelsen – Khachanov: 18.01.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alex Michelsen has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Auckland, Michelsen reached the quarterfinals, losing against Basavareddy in three sets. Michelsen won the opening round match against Tsitsipas in the Australian Open in four sets. It was a high-quality match overall. Yesterday, in the second round, Alex won against McCabe in tight straight sets. He served great throughout the match, not offering any breakpoints. Last year in Melbourne, Alex reached the third round, losing against Zverev in straight sets.
Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. So far this season, Khachanov has played only one preparation tournament, losing in the ATP Hong Kong opening round against Nishikori in three sets. So far in the Australian Open, Khachanov had a favorable draw. In the opening round, Khachanov defeated Mannarino in straight sets. Khachanov trailed 1-4 in the opening set but successfully turned the set around. In the second round, Khachanov defeated Diallo in four tight sets yesterday. His most significant result in the Australian Open happened in 2023, when he reached the semifinals, losing against Tsitsipas.
Best Bets for Michelsen – Khachanov
According to the bookmakers, Khachanov is the slight favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. We expect a very tight match that could go either way. Both players have a great serve, but they are also inconsistent, so we expect a long match with possible five sets and tiebreaks.
That being said, the over games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 40.5 games @1.91 or -110
Kecmanovic – Rune: 18.01.2025 10:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Miomir Kecmanovic has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, He reached the semifinals, losing against Korda in straight sets. In the opening round of the Australian Open, he had it tough against Lajovic. After spending almost four hours on the court, He defeated Lajovic in five tight sets. Yesterday, in the second round, He dominated against Hurkacz, winning in straight sets. Last year in Melbourne, Kecmanovic reached the fourth round, losing against Alcaraz in straight sets.
Holger Rune has won three of his last five matches. At the beginning of the season, Holger played in Brisbane, losing against Lehecka in the opening round in straight sets. In the opening Australian Open round, Rune defeated Zhang in five tight sets. Yesterday, in the second round, Holger won against Berrettini in four tight sets. Rune had a disappointing 2024 season and hopes for a better season this year. Last year in Melbourne, Rune was upset by Cazaux in the second round, losing in four sets.
Best Bets for Kecmanovic – Rune
According to the bookies, Rune is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Holger played great tennis yesterday against Berrettini; most importantly, he was mentally strong. Rune is a better player than Kecmanovic, and if he can play like he did yesterday, he should win easily against Miomir.
In our opinion, Rune winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Holger Rune winning @1.50 or -200
Head over to our betting page if you’d like to bet on these matches.