ATP Australian Open 1/8-Finals
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Tommy Paul: 19.01.2025 05:00 CEST
H2H: 0-3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won four of his last five matches and in the opening round of the Australian Open, he won the opening set against Shang 7-6. Juncheng retired in the second set when the Spaniard was 5-2 up. After that, in the second round, Alejandro trailed 0-2 against Auger-Aliassime but successfully turned the match around. Yesterday, in the third round, the Spaniard returned after losing the first two sets. Alejandro successfully turned the match around against Jakub Mensik and won in five sets after spending over three hours on the court. Last year in Melbourne, Alejandro reached the second round, losing against Nuno Borges in straight sets.
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. Tommy won the opening round match against O’Connell in five tight sets in Melbourne. Paul’s experience prevailed in that match. In the second round, Tommy defeated Nishikori after losing the first set 6-7. Paul lost only four games in the last three sets. In the third round, Tommy defeated Carballes Baena in easy straight sets yesterday. Last year in Melbourne, Tommy reached the third round, losing against Kecmanovic in five sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Paul is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Davidovich Fokina has no fuel left in his tank. We expect Tommy to dominate this match from the start until the end and win comfortably.
Our tip, Paul covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul -5.5 games handicap for 1.83 or -120
Djokovic – Jiri Lehecka: 19.01.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. In the opening Australian Open round, Novak defeated Basavareddy in four sets. Nishesh kept the match tight, as we predicted. After that, in the second round, Novak won against Faria in four sets. Novak lost the second set due to the amount of unforced errors he made. Yesterday, in the third round, Djokovic defeated Machac in easy straight sets and showed great tennis. Novak reached the semifinals in the Australian Open last year, losing against Sinner in four sets.
Jiri Lehecka has won eight straight matches and just recently won the title in Brisbane. Here in Melbourne, Lehecka had an easy draw so far. He has yet to face a top 60 player in the tournament. In the opening round, Jiri defeated Tu in four sets. Jiri did not give a brilliant performance. After that, in the second round, Lehecka won the opening set 6-3 against Gaston. Hugo trailed 1-3 in the second set when he decided to retire. Jiri had no problems against Bonzi in the third round yesterday, winning in straight sets. Last year in Melbourne, Lehecka was upset by Michelsen in the second round, losing in four sets.
Best Bets for Djokovic v Lehecka:
According to the bookies, Djokovic is the big favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Lehecka spent just a couple of hours in the opening stage of the tournament. We expect him to be fully confident and ready for Novak. Lehecka will keep this match tight.
That being said, Lehecka covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jiri Lehecka +4.5 games handicap for odds 2.00 or +100
