World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and World No. 2 Jannik Sinner will face off in a final once again, now it’s the 2025 Six Kings Slam final in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on Saturday, October 18, at the ANB Arena. This hype exhibition event provides the an interesting stage for the latest chapter of the “Sincaraz” saga, which has already seen them contest three Grand Slam finals this year.
This final is a direct repeat of the inaugural Six Kings Slam final in 2024, which saw Jannik Sinner claim the trophy (6-7(5), 6-3, 6-3 in the final). Alcaraz will be hungry for revenge and the massive winner’s prize of an additional $4.5 million.
Both players have navigated their way to the final with impressive displays of dominance, having received a bye into the semi-finals:
- Jannik Sinner has looked solid and maybe most importantly, injury free. He beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarter-finals with no major hassle and then conquered Djokovic in the semi-finals, both in straight sets (6-4, 6-2 against Djokovic).
- Carlos Alcaraz was equally dominant in his single match, sweeping aside Taylor Fritz (6-4, 6-2) in the semi-final. The Spaniard, who has been in phenomenal form following his US Open victory, is looking to cap a sensational year with yet another title.
Head-to-Head
While this exhibition match will not count toward their official record, the rivalry context is paramount. Alcaraz currently leads the official head-to-head 10-5, and has won seven of their last eight (!) meetings.
Their recent major finals:
- Roland Garros Final: Alcaraz defeated Sinner in an epic five-set thriller.
- Wimbledon Final: Sinner claimed his maiden Wimbledon title by overcoming Alcaraz.
- US Open Final: Alcaraz took the title with a four-set victory over Sinner.
Despite Alcaraz’s recent dominance in their championship clashes, Sinner has shown he is one of the few players capable of consistently challenging the Spaniard’s game.
Predictions
This is far from a Grand Slam, and it’s hard to get away from the fact that the prize money will be the most motivating factor this time.
However, expect another high-quality, hard-fought match. Both players are in good form and it always feels like a coin-flip to predict matches between these two and it shows at the odds among betting sites as well. Alcaraz usually rises in the big games but it feels like this is more Sinner’s type of event and we’ll go with a 2-1 win for the Italian to win again in Riyadh.
Not all sportsbooks offer odds on this tournament, we recommend Pinnacle Sportsbook or BetOnline (USA). The odds are very even with just a small edge for Sinner.
