ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals
Struff – Auger-Aliassime: 13.01.2025 06:00 CEST
H2H: 2-2
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, Struff has only played one preparation tournament. Struff reached the second round this week in Auckland, losing against Monfils in straight sets. Struff won his maiden ATP title last season in Munich on home soil. He is currently a top-50 player and hopes to cement his spot. Jan-Lennard is a solid player on every surface. Last year in Melbourne, Struff reached the second round, losing against Miomir Kecmanovic in five tight sets. A German even had consecutive match points in the deciding fifth set but crumbled under pressure.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won five straight matches. This week in Adelaide, Felix won the title, winning against Korda in the final in three tight sets. With this title, Felix now has six ATP titles under his name. The young Canadian started this season by playing in the United Cup. He lost his opening match against Coric but defeated Fritz shortly after that. Last year in the Australian Open, Felix reached the third round, losing against Medvedev in straight sets.
Best Bets for Struff vs Auger-Aliassime
According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the slight favorite in this matchup, which we can agree on. Felix showed great tennis this week in Adelaide. The young Canadian has already played in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open and enjoys playing here. On the other hand, Struff has never made it past the second round in Melbourne. We expect Felix to dominate in this match and win easily.
That being said, Auger-Aliassime winning is a value bet.
Value bet / the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime winning @1.57 | -175
Djokovic – Basavareddy: 13.01.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Novak Djokovic has won three of his last five matches. So far this season, Novak has played only one preparation tournament. Last week in Brisbane, Djokovic reached the quarterfinals, losing against Opelka in straight sets. Novak is historically looking the best player in the Australian Open. He already has 10 titles here in Melbourne and is once again one of the biggest favorites to win. Novak reached the semifinals last year in the Australian Open, losing against Sinner in four sets.
Nishesh Basavareddy has won four of his last five matches. This week in Auckland, Nishesh reached the semifinals as a qualifier, losing against Monfils in straight sets as we predicted. Basavareddy successfully qualified for the main draw as a qualifier in his first tournament of the season. In the opening main draw round, Nishesh lost against Monfils once again. Nishesh turned pro last season and has been granted a wild card here in the Australian Open.
Best Bets for Djokovic vs Basavareddy
According to the betting sites, Djokovic is the huge favorite in this matchup, and we partially agree. Nishesh is one of the biggest upcoming talents in the tennis world right now. On the other hand, Djokovic has not been playing many matches lately. We believe that Nishesh will keep this match tighter than the bookies think.
Basavareddy covering the games handicap is our value bet for this match.
Value bet / the best odds: Nishesh Basavareddy +8.5 games handicap @1.80 | -125
