The 2025 National Bank Open in Toronto brings a good third-round clash on Thursday, July 31st, as Canadian wild card Gabriel Diallo faces No. 2 seed Taylor Fritz on Centre Court. Here’s a quick look at their form, head-to-head and our predictions for Diallo vs Fritz.
Player Form
Gabriel Diallo (ranked no 36) is riding a wave of confidence at home. The 6-foot-8 Canadian beat Matteo Gigante 6-3, 7-6(5) in the second round, saving two set points and forcing a tiebreak, and earlier defeated Christopher Eubanks 6-4, 6-3. With a 17-13 record in 2025, including a Netherlands ATP 250 title in June, Diallo’s serve and 8-3 hard-court mark make him a crowd favorite. More on Gabriel Diallo’s current racquet.
Taylor Fritz (World No. 4) is in fine form, reaching the US Open final in 2024 and Wimbledon semifinals in 2025. In Toronto, he beat Roberto Carballes Baena 7-5, 7-6(1) in the second round after a first-round bye, firing 10 aces. His 29-12 season record, including a Miami semifinal, and 15-4 hard-court mark shows his consistency on North American courts.
Head-to-Head
Fritz leads 1-0, winning a five-set thriller at Wimbledon 2025 (3-6, 6-3, 7-6(0), 4-6, 6-3), where he hit 56 winners to Diallo’s 26 aces.
Betting Odds
- Moneyline: Diallo +230 (3.30) | Fritz -275 (1.35)
- Game Spread: Diallo +3.5 (-137.5/1.74) | Fritz -3.5 (+100/2.00)
- Total Games: Over 23.5 (+100/2.00) | Under 23.5 (-130/1.77)
Prediction and Best Bets
Fritz’s experience, especially on hard-court, make him the favorite here of course, but Diallo’s serve, recent form and home energy could keep sets tight. He showed in the last meeting that he can keep up with Fritz and if he can deliver great first serves again, avoid further double faults as we seen, he can make this competitive.
Prediction: Fritz wins in three sets. Best Bet: Game Handicap Diallo (+3.5)
