The Terra Wortmann Open in Halle reaches its semifinals, and we’re set for a classic clash between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev. This grass-court showdown at the OWL Arena pits the Russian’s relentless defense against the German’s powerful serve and of course, home support.
Medvedev v Zverev
Daniil Medvedev (World No. 11) has been sharp in Halle, not dropping a set. He started with a 6-3, 6-3 win over Daniel Altmaier, followed by a 6-2, 7-5 victory against Quentin Halys, and then beat Alex Michelsen 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals. Medvedev’s serve has been solid, and his ability to control rallies from the baseline makes him a tough opponent on grass.
Alexander Zverev (World No. 3) is finding his game on grass again. He cruised past Marcos Giron 6-2, 6-1, battled back to beat Lorenzo Sonego 3-6, 6-4, 7-6, and then topped Flavio Cobolli 6-4, 7-6(6) in the quarterfinals, despite a stomach issue. Zverev’s big serve and improved movement keep him dangerous, especially with the Halle crowd behind him.
Head-to-Head
Medvedev leads 12-7 in their 19 meetings, including a five-set win at the 2024 Australian Open (5-7, 3-6, 7-6(4), 7-6(5), 6-3). As Medvedev’s form has been far from his best lately, it’s nice to see these two top players face each other again. They’ve never played on grass either, making this a fresh challenge.
What to Watch
Medvedev’s return game and flat backhand can disrupt Zverev’s rhythm, especially if he gets balls back consistently. His ability to save break points (100% in Halle so far) is a big factor. Zverev, however, has been serving well, with 10 aces per match in Halle, and his aggressive play suits the fast grass. The German’s home support and desire for a first Halle title can of course add some extra motivation.
Betting Odds for Zverev vs Medvedev
- Moneyline: Medvedev +100 (2.00) | Zverev -125 (1.79)
- Game Spread: Medvedev +0.5 (-112/1.89) | Zverev -0.5 (-120/1.85)
- Total Games: Over 24.5 (-120/1.85) | Under 24.5 (-112/1.89)
Odds via BetUS, where new users can grab some free bets with promo code TENNISNERD.
Bet on the match at 20Bet, where new users can grab some free bets with promo code TENNISNERD.
Prediction and Best Bet
Looking at the odds, Zverev is a slight favorite and we tend to agree, even though Medvedev has the edge in their previous meetings. That was a while ago though and the Russian has more than once struggled towards the end of big tournaments recently. Zverev is overall a better player as of late, and especially on grass. We expect a tight match where Medvedev can clinch one set but his run here in Germany will be over.
Prediction: Zverev wins in three sets.
Best Bet: Over 24.5 total games (1.85 or -120). Both players are serving well, and their history suggests long, competitive sets.
