ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals
Tabilo vs Carballes Baena: 13.01.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alejandro Tabilo has lost four of his last five matches. So far this season, Tabilo has played two preparation tournaments. In his first tournament of the season, Alejandro played in Brisbane, losing against Bonzi in the opening round in three tight sets. This week in Auckland, Tabilo lost again in the opening round against Basavareddy in three tight sets. Alejandro is an all-around player who can play on every surface. His great last season brought him into the top 20 in the rankings. Last year in Melbourne, Tabilo lost in the opening round against Kovacevic in five sets.
Roberto Carballes Baena has lost three of his last five matches. The Spaniard has also played two preparation tournaments so far. The first was in Hong Kong, where Roberto lost in three sets in the opening round against Diallo. Roberto reached the quarterfinals this week in Auckland, losing against Bergs in three sets. Being a Spaniard, Carballes Baena had the most significant results on clay throughout his career. Last year in Melbourne, Roberto lost in the opening round against Gaston in four sets.
Best Bet to Make:
According to the top tennis bookmakers, Tabilo is the favorite in this match, and we agree. Alejandro is a better hard-court player than Baena. Even though he has lost his opening matches this season, Tabilo played well. We believe that Roberto has no weapon for Tabilo’s game, so we expect Alejandro to win easily tomorrow.
Tabilo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Tabilo -3.5 games handicap @1.91 | -110
Fearnley vs Kyrgios: 13.01.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jacob Fearnley has won three of his last five matches. So far this season, Jacob has played only one preparation tournament. Last week in Canberra, Fearnley reached the semifinals at the Challenger tournament, losing against Fonseca in straight sets. The young Brit had his biggest results on fast courts like this. Jacob had a breakthrough last season, reaching the top 100 in the rankings.
Nick Kyrgios has lost six straight matches. He has not played any competitive matches in 2023 or 2024. His comeback tournament was in Brisbane two weeks ago. Nick lost against Mpetshi Perricard in three tight sets but played well throughout the match. Nick loves to play in Australia. He said that he is feeling fine and is ready to take on the challenge. His biggest result in Melbourne was in 2015, when he reached the quarterfinals, losing against Murray in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make:
According to the bookmakers, this will be a 50-50 match, but we disagree. Even though Nick has not played competitive matches for a while, he is still an experienced player. Nick played well in his opening match of the season, and we expect him to be even better on home soil in front of a packed home crowd.
That being said, Kyrgios winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Nick Kyrgios winning @1.73 | -137.5
