De Minaur vs Medvedev, Shanghai Masters Quarterfinal Predictions

Written by: Stefan Jonsson | October 9, 2025
alex de minaur

A very interesting quarterfinal matchup at the Shanghai Masters will feature the in-form Alex de Minaur against the former champion, Daniil Medvedev.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Medvedev currently leads the overall head-to-head record 7-4.

However, the rivalry has become more competitive, with De Minaur winning two of their last three encounters, including a straight-sets victory earlier this year.

Current form

Alex de Minaur has had a really smooth path to the last eight, cruising through his matches without dropping a set or being pushed to a tiebreaker. His super-consistent play and speed have been a factor for sure and he doesn’t seem to be affected so much by the heat and humidity like other players. De Minaur is having a great season overall, with an impressive 50-18 match record.

Medvedev has had a more challenging journey. While he had straight-set wins in his opening rounds, his last match was a tough three-set battle lasting nearly three hours. He struggled with cramping during that match, a physical concern that has surfaced for him recently in the humid Asian swing conditions.

Predictions for De Minaur vs Medvedev

Medvedev is a former champion in Shanghai and possesses a world-class defensive game and court intelligence. However, even if it wasn’t for the recent struggles and possible fatigue, I think de Minaur is a level up at the moment and he will grind out the win here.

Prediction: De Minaur in two sets.

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Stefan Jonsson

Stefan is a writer at Tennisnerd since 2023 and keep the readers updated on new events, betting tips and general tennis news.