It’s quarterfinal day at the 2026 Stockholm Open, and we’re looking closer at Taylor Fritz vs. Holger Rune and Lorenzo Musetti vs. Ugo Humbert, with our predictions and best bets.
Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune
Fritz, the top seed and world No. 10 is trying to secure a top-10 finish in the year-end rankings. He got through his first match here with a 7-5, 6-3 win over Cameron Norrie, a win that was tighter than the score suggests, since Norrie served for the first set at 5-3.
Rune has had a good week in his comeback from the Achilles rupture that kept him out for 11 months. He’s the 2022 Stockholm champion, and he opened with a 6-3, 6-4 win over eighth seed Zizou Bergs in 1 hour 27 minutes. He then came back from a set down against Miomir Kecmanovic, 2-6, 6-1, 6-4, dropping just one game in the second set, to reach his 40th tour-level quarterfinal.
Fritz leads the head-to-head 2-1. He won in Miami in 2023 in straight sets, Rune won the round of 16 at Indian Wells in 2024, 2-6, 7-6(2), 6-3, after saving a match point, and Fritz won the round of 16 at the Shanghai Masters later that year, 6-1, 6-2.
Predictions and best bets
Rune is a dangerous opponent, and the Indian Wells result proves he can beat Fritz when he gets the match going his way. But Fritz won the last meeting easily, he’s the more consistent server, especially on these courts that seem faster than first expected. Rune is still building his match fitness after 11 months out. I expect Fritz to progress from this match.
My bet: Fritz to win in straight sets.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert
Musetti, the third seed, has had an easy start. He beat qualifier Toby Samuel 6-1, 6-4 in his opening match without facing a break point. He won the title in Lyon last month, beating Fritz in the final, but his season has been hit by injuries, and he missed out on a place at the ATP Finals.
Humbert, the seventh seed and world No. 39, has had a straightforward week of his own. He beat Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-4, 6-3 in 1 hour 25 minutes and then qualifier Borna Gojo 6-2, 6-4, winning 80% of his first-serve points against the Croatian. He hasn’t won a title this year, but he knows Stockholm well, with a runner-up finish last year, where he lost the final to Casper Ruud.
They have never met on tour, so this is a first meeting.
Predictions and best bets
Humbert’s lefty serve and flat forehand are a good fit for these fast indoor courts, and he made the final here last year. But Musetti has the better all-around game, and I expect him to be more consistent. I think Humbert will be able to take a set, but I’ll back the Italian who is in great form at the moment.
My bet: Musetti to win in three sets
